Joe Public FC vs Santos Laguna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.1%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.2%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.1%
21%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
64.8%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
12.5%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20%
0-3
8.1%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
11.6%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
5.2%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Joe Public FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 2010 |
JOE
2 - 1
POL
70%
18%
12%
|
62 | 48 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2010 |
STA
0 - 3
JOE
30%
26%
44%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2010 |
JOE
3 - 2
NOR
49%
25%
26%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2010 |
SEN
0 - 2
JOE
35%
26%
39%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Jun. 2010 |
JOE
1 - 3
DEF
50%
24%
26%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Santos Laguna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2010 |
SAN
1 - 0
JAG
68%
19%
13%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2010 |
PAC
0 - 3
SAN
47%
24%
29%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2010 |
SAN
4 - 0
PUM
63%
21%
16%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2010 |
ATL
1 - 4
SAN
36%
26%
39%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 May. 2010 |
TOL
0 - 0
SAN
47%
25%
28%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | -1 |