Joane vs Varzim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.1%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.5%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
4%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.7%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
24.4%
59.5%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
15.6%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.7%
0-2
12.7%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.5%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Joane
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
TIR
2 - 3
JOA
78%
15%
7%
|
29 | 59 | 30 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
JOA
0 - 1
INF
46%
24%
30%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
FAF
2 - 0
JOA
78%
15%
7%
|
30 | 54 | 24 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
JOA
1 - 3
RIB
20%
25%
55%
|
32 | 50 | 18 | -2 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
OSL
2 - 0
JOA
66%
20%
14%
|
33 | 48 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
VAR
0 - 1
GON
57%
25%
19%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
BOA
1 - 1
VAR
38%
28%
35%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
VAR
1 - 0
AMA
71%
19%
10%
|
60 | 43 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
VAR
1 - 0
CHA
57%
25%
18%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
TIR
2 - 1
VAR
46%
28%
25%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | -1 |