JFK Ventspils vs JDFS Alberts analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.9%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.1%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.1%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
53.6%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
13.8%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.5%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+49%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
2º
6º
5º
35
1º
3º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
3º
|
35 | 55 |
1º
|
66% | |
|
2º
|
35 | 52 |
2º
|
37.5% | |
|
1º
|
36 | 50 |
3º
|
33% | |
|
5º
|
26 | 46 |
4º
|
28% | |
|
|
4º
|
31 | 43 |
5º
|
26% | |
|
6º
|
25 | 42 |
6º
|
28.5% | |
|
7º
|
25 | 36 |
7º
|
30% | |
|
9º
|
19 | 34 |
8º
|
23.5% | |
|
8º
|
21 | 32 |
9º
|
28.5% | |
|
13º
|
8 | 28 |
10º
|
38% | |
|
10º
|
18 | 28 |
11º
|
33% | |
|
11º
|
13 | 24 |
12º
|
32% | |
|
12º
|
12 | 19 |
13º
|
32.5% | |
|
14º
|
8 | 19 |
14º
|
40% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0.5% | 66% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
3% | 22.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
96.5% | 11.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
JFK Ventspils
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2025 |
RIG
1 - 1
KFV
74%
17%
10%
|
44 | 64 | 20 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2025 |
KFV
2 - 1
SMI
45%
24%
31%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2025 |
FKB
1 - 2
KFV
16%
19%
65%
|
43 | 20 | 23 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
KFV
2 - 0
AUG
81%
13%
7%
|
42 | 17 | 25 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2025 |
TUK
1 - 3
KFV
56%
23%
22%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
JDFS Alberts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2025 |
ALB
1 - 0
PRA
80%
14%
6%
|
67 | 43 | 24 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2025 |
FSL
0 - 4
ALB
21%
24%
55%
|
67 | 34 | 33 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2025 |
ALB
1 - 0
MAR
68%
20%
13%
|
67 | 41 | 26 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2025 |
SKA
1 - 1
ALB
22%
25%
54%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2025 |
ALB
4 - 0
RIG
33%
26%
41%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | +2 |