Jesina vs Montegiorgio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.6%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.3%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.9%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
49.4%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.1%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.4%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jesina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2019 |
SEL
1 - 0
JES
50%
22%
28%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
JES
1 - 3
MAT
17%
24%
59%
|
28 | 43 | 15 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
PIN
2 - 0
JES
60%
23%
18%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
JES
2 - 3
ASD
32%
26%
43%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
AVE
1 - 0
JES
41%
26%
33%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Montegiorgio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
MON
0 - 1
SAN
51%
23%
27%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
CAM
0 - 1
MON
34%
25%
41%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
MON
1 - 1
CHI
46%
23%
31%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2019 |
MON
0 - 2
UST
46%
23%
32%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
SFF
3 - 1
MON
44%
22%
34%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | -2 |