1. Division Normal Season Round 19

Jerv vs Sandnes Ulf analysis

Jerv Sandnes Ulf
56 ELO 59
8.7% Tilt 11.6%
3309º General ELO ranking 3307º
49º Country ELO ranking 47º
ELO win probability
41.6%
Jerv
24.3%
Draw
34.1%
Sandnes Ulf

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.6%
Win probability
Jerv
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.6%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
34.1%
Win probability
Sandnes Ulf
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Jerv
-1%
+41%
Sandnes Ulf

Points and table prediction

Jerv
Their league position
Sandnes Ulf
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
15º
15º
37
13º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Fredrikstad
64
64
100%
KFUM Oslo
58
58
100%
Kongsvinger
52
52
100%
Kristiansund BK
50
50
100%
IK Start
46
46
100%
Bryne
44
44
100%
Sogndal
43
43
100%
Ranheim
40
40
100%
Raufoss IL
38
38
100%
Moss
10º
38
38
10º
100%
Sandnes Ulf
11º
37
37
11º
0%
Mjøndalen IF
13º
37
37
12º
0%
Åsane
12º
37
37
13º
0%
Hødd
14º
33
33
14º
100%
Jerv
15º
31
31
15º
100%
Skeid
16º
14
14
16º
100%
Expected probabilities
Jerv
Sandnes Ulf
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
0% 100%
Relegation play-offs
0% 0%
Relegation
100% 0%

ELO progression

Jerv
Sandnes Ulf
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Jerv
Jerv
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 Aug. 2023
KRI
Kristiansund BK
3 - 1
Jerv
JER
65%
20%
15%
57 66 9 0
09 Aug. 2023
RAU
Raufoss IL
2 - 3
Jerv
JER
49%
23%
28%
56 57 1 +1
05 Aug. 2023
JER
Jerv
1 - 1
Moss
MOS
47%
24%
29%
56 55 1 0
08 Jul. 2023
SOG
Sogndal
5 - 1
Jerv
JER
51%
24%
25%
57 59 2 -1
01 Jul. 2023
JER
Jerv
4 - 3
KFUM Oslo
KFU
28%
25%
48%
56 63 7 +1

Matches

Sandnes Ulf
Sandnes Ulf
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 Aug. 2023
SAN
Sandnes Ulf
2 - 0
Moss
MOS
50%
24%
27%
57 55 2 0
06 Aug. 2023
SAN
Sandnes Ulf
1 - 2
Sogndal
SOG
36%
26%
38%
57 61 4 0
08 Jul. 2023
RAN
Ranheim
0 - 5
Sandnes Ulf
SAN
47%
23%
30%
56 56 0 +1
01 Jul. 2023
SAN
Sandnes Ulf
3 - 3
Åsane
ASA
54%
23%
23%
56 52 4 0
25 Jun. 2023
KFU
KFUM Oslo
3 - 1
Sandnes Ulf
SAN
59%
22%
19%
57 64 7 -1