Jerv vs Lysekloster analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.7%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
25%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
3º
8º
3º
17
6º
14º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
34 | 57 |
1º
|
76.5% | |
|
2º
|
33 | 51 |
2º
|
60.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
27 | 45 |
3º
|
47% | |
|
4º
|
23 | 40 |
4º
|
29.5% | |
|
5º
|
20 | 40 |
5º
|
22% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 36 |
6º
|
24.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
17 | 34 |
7º
|
13% | |
|
6º
|
20 | 32 |
8º
|
12.5% | |
|
9º
|
16 | 30 |
9º
|
13.5% | |
|
11º
|
16 | 30 |
10º
|
14.5% | |
|
10º
|
16 | 27 |
11º
|
20.5% | |
|
12º
|
14 | 25 |
12º
|
16.5% | |
|
13º
|
14 | 25 |
13º
|
26% | |
|
14º
|
11 | 22 |
14º
|
40.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
3.5% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
16% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
80.5% | 91.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 8.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jerv
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2025 |
JER
3 - 0
FFC
62%
21%
17%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2025 |
BRA
2 - 4
JER
32%
23%
45%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | +1 |
| 06 Jul. 2025 |
JER
2 - 0
TRA
61%
21%
18%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | +1 |
| 29 Jun. 2025 |
LYS
3 - 0
JER
29%
24%
47%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Jun. 2025 |
JER
2 - 1
BRA
56%
21%
23%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Lysekloster
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2025 |
NOT
0 - 2
LYS
34%
25%
41%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2025 |
LYS
1 - 2
ETO
40%
25%
36%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2025 |
VAR
4 - 4
LYS
32%
24%
45%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2025 |
LYS
3 - 0
JER
29%
24%
47%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | +2 |
| 22 Jun. 2025 |
ETO
0 - 0
LYS
52%
22%
27%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |