Jerv vs Hødd analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.2%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.8%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.4%
26%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
39.9%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
4º
15º
15º
33
2º
15º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
64 | 64 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 52 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
38 | 38 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
37 | 37 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
37 | 37 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
37 | 37 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
|
14º
|
33 | 33 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
31 | 31 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
14 | 14 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jerv
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2023 |
MAN
0 - 3
JER
11%
17%
72%
|
56 | 33 | 23 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
JER
1 - 1
KRI
20%
24%
56%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2023 |
BRY
0 - 0
JER
45%
25%
30%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
JER
1 - 1
FFK
37%
26%
37%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
KON
2 - 1
JER
55%
24%
21%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Hødd
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2023 |
SPJ
0 - 5
HOD
7%
16%
77%
|
60 | 33 | 27 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
HOD
1 - 1
FFK
42%
27%
31%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2023 |
SOG
1 - 0
HOD
44%
25%
31%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
HOD
1 - 1
MOS
49%
25%
25%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
IKS
4 - 2
HOD
54%
24%
23%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | -1 |