Jerv vs FK Arendal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.5%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.7%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.2%
13.3%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jerv
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
STR
2 - 2
JER
29%
22%
48%
|
51 | 37 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2014 |
JER
2 - 1
KON
47%
23%
30%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
ASK
3 - 3
JER
33%
24%
44%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | -1 |
| 02 Aug. 2014 |
JER
3 - 4
ORN
73%
16%
12%
|
51 | 37 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2014 |
JER
3 - 1
NOT
65%
19%
16%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
FK Arendal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
FKA
1 - 1
47%
23%
30%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
VIN
5 - 3
FKA
65%
19%
17%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2014 |
ODD
0 - 1
FKA
44%
24%
33%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2014 |
FKA
3 - 1
STR
43%
21%
36%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | +1 |
| 26 Jul. 2014 |
FKA
4 - 3
KON
27%
23%
51%
|
40 | 53 | 13 | +1 |