Jerez vs Moralo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.8%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
24.6%
18.6%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+59%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jerez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2008 |
SPO
3 - 2
JER
30%
29%
42%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2008 |
JER
1 - 0
VAL
67%
21%
12%
|
40 | 22 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2008 |
UCL
0 - 2
JER
24%
28%
48%
|
40 | 29 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2008 |
JER
2 - 0
PUE
67%
21%
13%
|
40 | 25 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2008 |
PLA
4 - 1
JER
36%
27%
37%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | -2 |
Matches
Moralo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2008 |
MOR
3 - 2
VAL
40%
27%
34%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2008 |
OLI
0 - 3
MOR
46%
25%
28%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2008 |
MOR
2 - 0
CPC
26%
28%
46%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | +2 |
| 11 May. 2008 |
CDZ
9 - 0
MOR
63%
23%
14%
|
26 | 39 | 13 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2008 |
MOR
1 - 1
VAL
43%
27%
30%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | 0 |