Jerez vs Merida B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.2%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
27.9%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jerez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 1996 |
MIA
0 - 4
JER
8%
17%
75%
|
29 | 13 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1996 |
JER
3 - 0
CDZ
91%
8%
1%
|
29 | 11 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1996 |
GUA
2 - 0
JER
10%
19%
72%
|
31 | 17 | 14 | -2 |
| 15 Sep. 1996 |
JER
3 - 0
SAM
76%
17%
8%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1996 |
MON
1 - 5
JER
14%
21%
65%
|
30 | 18 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Merida B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 1996 |
MCB
0 - 1
GUA
72%
19%
10%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1996 |
DBN
2 - 0
MCB
31%
26%
43%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | -2 |
| 22 Sep. 1996 |
MCB
1 - 1
MOR
53%
25%
22%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1996 |
OLI
1 - 1
MCB
11%
22%
67%
|
35 | 19 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1996 |
MCB
3 - 0
UDF
74%
18%
9%
|
35 | 20 | 15 | 0 |