Jerez vs Castuera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.2%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.4%
9.6%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jerez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
JER
2 - 1
OLI
74%
17%
10%
|
29 | 20 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
ADL
0 - 1
JER
23%
24%
53%
|
28 | 19 | 9 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
JER
2 - 0
CDD
67%
19%
14%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2018 |
VAL
0 - 3
JER
14%
21%
65%
|
27 | 15 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
JER
1 - 1
EXT
61%
20%
19%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Castuera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
CAS
6 - 3
ADL
52%
22%
26%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
CDD
4 - 0
CAS
54%
23%
23%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
CAS
0 - 1
VAL
79%
14%
7%
|
21 | 14 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2018 |
EXT
1 - 1
CAS
62%
20%
18%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
CAS
0 - 3
CAL
45%
24%
31%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | -1 |