Jerez vs Arroyo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.7%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
31.1%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jerez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2022 |
CDD
1 - 1
JER
35%
24%
41%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
JER
2 - 0
EXT
74%
18%
8%
|
22 | 13 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
BAD
1 - 2
JER
25%
25%
51%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
JER
3 - 0
MIA
51%
25%
24%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
OLI
2 - 3
JER
45%
25%
30%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Arroyo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2022 |
ARR
1 - 0
MOR
25%
26%
49%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
ARR
1 - 1
CDD
62%
22%
17%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
EXT
0 - 2
ARR
20%
26%
54%
|
22 | 13 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
ARR
2 - 1
BAD
64%
21%
15%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
MIA
1 - 0
ARR
34%
27%
39%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | -1 |