Jerez Industrial vs CD San Fernando analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.5%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.8%
1-0
17%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.4%
33%
Draw
0-0
17.1%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
33%
27.5%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jerez Industrial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 1979 |
JER
2 - 1
ILI
59%
25%
16%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1978 |
CDB
6 - 0
JER
57%
25%
18%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | -2 |
| 17 Dec. 1978 |
JER
1 - 3
CDR
65%
23%
12%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 1978 |
ARC
0 - 1
JER
63%
22%
15%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 1978 |
JER
1 - 1
EST
61%
24%
15%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
CD San Fernando
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 1979 |
CDB
1 - 0
SFE
46%
31%
24%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1978 |
SFE
2 - 0
ARC
73%
19%
8%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 1978 |
BET
1 - 0
SFE
45%
30%
25%
|
47 | 35 | 12 | -2 |
| 10 Dec. 1978 |
SFE
2 - 1
IME
85%
10%
5%
|
46 | 31 | 15 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 1978 |
DBN
1 - 0
SFE
42%
31%
27%
|
48 | 33 | 15 | -2 |