Jerez Industrial vs Alcalá de Guadaira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.4%
Win probability
2.71
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.3%
4-0
7%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.4%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.9%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.7%
13.7%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.7%
7.9%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jerez Industrial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 1970 |
AFC
0 - 2
JER
18%
25%
57%
|
39 | 22 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1970 |
JER
3 - 4
REC
46%
27%
27%
|
40 | 50 | 10 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 1970 |
AMA
0 - 0
JER
41%
26%
33%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 1970 |
BAL
3 - 0
JER
45%
26%
28%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Jan. 1970 |
JER
3 - 0
SEV
64%
21%
15%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Alcalá de Guadaira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 1970 |
AGU
0 - 0
CDR
81%
13%
6%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1970 |
SFE
1 - 1
AGU
73%
16%
11%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1970 |
AGU
1 - 0
PUE
81%
13%
6%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 1970 |
AGU
3 - 0
AGD
38%
26%
36%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | +4 |
| 04 Jan. 1970 |
AYA
1 - 3
AGU
45%
26%
29%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | +1 |