K-League Classic Normal Season Round 1

Jeju United vs Suwon FC analysis

Jeju United Suwon FC
76 ELO 76
2.7% Tilt 2.7%
1052º General ELO ranking 1044º
13º Country ELO ranking 11º
ELO win probability
45.9%
Jeju United
25.3%
Draw
28.8%
Suwon FC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.9%
Win probability
Jeju United
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
28.8%
Win probability
Suwon FC
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Jeju United
-9%
-4%
Suwon FC

Points and table prediction

Jeju United
Their league position
Suwon FC
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
11º
31
11º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Ulsan HD FC
67
67
100%
Pohang Steelers
58
58
100%
Gwangju FC
54
54
100%
Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors
49
49
100%
Daegu FC
49
49
100%
Incheon United
48
48
100%
FC Seoul
47
47
100%
Daejeon Citizen
45
45
100%
Jeju United
35
35
100%
Suwon FC
10º
31
31
10º
100%
Gangwon FC
11º
26
26
11º
100%
Suwon Bluewings
12º
25
25
12º
100%
Expected probabilities
Jeju United
Suwon FC
Play-offs for the title
0% 0%
Relegation play-offs
100% 100%

ELO progression

Jeju United
Suwon FC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Jeju United
Jeju United
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Oct. 2022
ULS
Ulsan HD FC
1 - 2
Jeju United
JEJ
42%
26%
32%
76 76 0 0
16 Oct. 2022
JEJ
Jeju United
1 - 2
Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors
JEO
43%
25%
32%
76 76 0 0
11 Oct. 2022
INC
Incheon United
3 - 1
Jeju United
JEJ
36%
28%
36%
76 76 0 0
08 Oct. 2022
POH
Pohang Steelers
1 - 2
Jeju United
JEJ
43%
26%
31%
76 76 0 0
02 Oct. 2022
JEJ
Jeju United
1 - 2
Gangwon FC
GAN
44%
25%
32%
76 76 0 0

Matches

Suwon FC
Suwon FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Oct. 2022
SUW
Suwon FC
0 - 2
FC Seoul
FCS
54%
23%
23%
76 76 0 0
16 Oct. 2022
SUW
Suwon Bluewings
3 - 0
Suwon FC
SUW
39%
27%
34%
76 76 0 0
12 Oct. 2022
SUW
Suwon FC
2 - 1
Seongnam FC
SEO
55%
23%
22%
76 76 0 0
09 Oct. 2022
DAE
Daegu FC
2 - 1
Suwon FC
SUW
43%
26%
31%
76 76 0 0
02 Oct. 2022
SUW
Suwon FC
2 - 2
Gimcheon Sangmu FC
SAN
51%
23%
26%
76 76 0 0