K-League Classic Normal Season Round 22

Jeju United vs Gwangju FC analysis

Jeju United Gwangju FC
76 ELO 76
4.2% Tilt 3.8%
1061º General ELO ranking 1036º
13º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
45.2%
Jeju United
25.3%
Draw
29.5%
Gwangju FC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.2%
Win probability
Jeju United
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
29.5%
Win probability
Gwangju FC
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Jeju United
-8%
+4%
Gwangju FC

Points and table prediction

Jeju United
Their league position
Gwangju FC
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
11º
54
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Ulsan HD FC
67
67
100%
Pohang Steelers
58
58
100%
Gwangju FC
54
54
100%
Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors
49
49
100%
Daegu FC
49
49
100%
Incheon United
48
48
100%
FC Seoul
47
47
100%
Daejeon Citizen
45
45
100%
Jeju United
35
35
100%
Suwon FC
10º
31
31
10º
100%
Gangwon FC
11º
26
26
11º
100%
Suwon Bluewings
12º
25
25
12º
100%
Expected probabilities
Jeju United
Gwangju FC
Play-offs for the title
0% 100%
Relegation play-offs
100% 0%

ELO progression

Jeju United
Gwangju FC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Jeju United
Jeju United
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
07 Jul. 2023
JEJ
Jeju United
1 - 2
Daegu FC
DAE
46%
25%
29%
76 76 0 0
01 Jul. 2023
JEO
Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors
2 - 0
Jeju United
JEJ
42%
26%
31%
76 76 0 0
28 Jun. 2023
ULS
Ulsan HD FC
1 - 1
Jeju United
JEJ
47%
24%
29%
76 76 0 0
24 Jun. 2023
JEJ
Jeju United
1 - 1
Daejeon Citizen
DCI
43%
25%
32%
76 76 0 0
10 Jun. 2023
ULS
Ulsan HD FC
5 - 1
Jeju United
JEJ
44%
26%
30%
76 76 0 0

Matches

Gwangju FC
Gwangju FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
07 Jul. 2023
GAN
Gangwon FC
1 - 1
Gwangju FC
GWA
41%
26%
33%
76 76 0 0
02 Jul. 2023
GWA
Gwangju FC
0 - 1
Ulsan HD FC
ULS
43%
26%
31%
76 76 0 0
28 Jun. 2023
JEO
Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors
4 - 0
Gwangju FC
GWA
41%
25%
35%
76 75 1 0
24 Jun. 2023
GWA
Gwangju FC
2 - 0
Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors
JEO
44%
26%
30%
76 76 0 0
10 Jun. 2023
DCI
Daejeon Citizen
1 - 1
Gwangju FC
GWA
45%
25%
30%
76 76 0 0