JEF United vs Thespa Gunma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.1%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.1%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.1%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.3%
11.7%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
JEF United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2011 |
JEF
1 - 0
DSH
84%
12%
5%
|
67 | 26 | 41 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
EHI
0 - 1
JEF
27%
27%
46%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2011 |
JEF
0 - 1
KYO
62%
21%
17%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
JEF
1 - 0
GIR
77%
16%
8%
|
67 | 55 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
FAG
0 - 1
JEF
20%
26%
55%
|
67 | 53 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Thespa Gunma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
THE
0 - 1
FAG
56%
22%
22%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
ROA
1 - 0
THE
47%
27%
27%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2011 |
GAI
1 - 1
THE
44%
26%
30%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2011 |
THE
1 - 1
OIT
41%
27%
32%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
KYO
3 - 1
THE
52%
25%
23%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | -1 |