1. Liga Round 1

JDFS Alberts vs Smiltene analysis

JDFS Alberts Smiltene
62 ELO 35
8.7% Tilt 3.6%
1942º General ELO ranking 7500º
Country ELO ranking 23º
ELO win probability
78.9%
JDFS Alberts
13.8%
Draw
7.2%
Smiltene

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.9%
Win probability
JDFS Alberts
2.61
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.1%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.2%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
13.8%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.8%
7.2%
Win probability
Smiltene
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
JDFS Alberts
-5%
+18%
Smiltene

Points and table prediction

JDFS Alberts
Their league position
Smiltene
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
58
17
11º
14º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
SK Super Nova
65
65
100%
Rigas FS II
63
63
100%
JDFS Alberts
58
58
100%
Riga FC II
48
48
100%
Skanstes
41
41
100%
Valmiera II
34
34
100%
FK Mārupe
33
33
100%
Leevon PPK
31
31
100%
JFK Ventspils
10º
30
30
100%
AFA Olaine
30
30
10º
100%
Ogre United
11º
29
29
11º
100%
FK Tukums 2000 / TSS II
12º
19
19
12º
100%
Smiltene
13º
17
17
13º
100%
Rezekne
14º
14
14
14º
100%
Expected probabilities
JDFS Alberts
Smiltene
Promotion
0% 0%
Mid-table
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
100% 0%
Relegation play-offs
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 100%

ELO progression

JDFS Alberts
Smiltene
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

JDFS Alberts
JDFS Alberts
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Feb. 2024
ALB
JDFS Alberts
1 - 1
Nõmme United
NOM
22%
19%
60%
61 69 8 0
17 Feb. 2024
VJK
Viimsi JK
3 - 2
JDFS Alberts
ALB
45%
24%
31%
61 62 1 0
10 Feb. 2024
HJP
Harju JK Laagri
2 - 2
JDFS Alberts
ALB
35%
23%
42%
61 54 7 0
01 Feb. 2024
ALB
JDFS Alberts
5 - 3
Levadia Tallinn II
LEV
55%
22%
23%
61 57 4 0
12 Nov. 2023
ALB
JDFS Alberts
6 - 2
AFA Olaine
PRA
68%
19%
14%
61 45 16 0

Matches

Smiltene
Smiltene
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Nov. 2023
RIG
Rigas FS II
5 - 4
Smiltene
SMI
74%
15%
11%
36 53 17 0
04 Nov. 2023
SMI
Smiltene
2 - 2
Valmiera II
VAL
20%
20%
60%
35 56 21 +1
29 Oct. 2023
SMI
Smiltene
1 - 2
Grobiņa
GRO
9%
15%
76%
35 64 29 0
22 Oct. 2023
SMI
Smiltene
0 - 7
Riga FC II
RIG
19%
23%
58%
36 70 34 -1
07 Oct. 2023
RFA
Rezekne
1 - 2
Smiltene
SMI
57%
19%
24%
34 37 3 +2