JDFS Alberts vs Smiltene analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.2%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.2%
4-0
8.2%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.7%
3-0
12.7%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.7%
2-0
14.8%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
13.1%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
13.1%
5.6%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.5%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+23%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
47
4º
10º
4º
22
4º
13º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
66 | 66 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
64 | 64 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
59 | 59 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 30 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 28 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 23 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
22 | 22 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 18 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
13 | 13 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
JDFS Alberts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
FKJ
1 - 0
ALB
58%
23%
20%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
SKA
1 - 1
ALB
38%
26%
36%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
SMI
0 - 1
ALB
13%
20%
67%
|
57 | 31 | 26 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
TUK
0 - 5
ALB
38%
26%
37%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
DRS
0 - 1
ALB
21%
23%
56%
|
56 | 43 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Smiltene
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
TUK
1 - 2
SMI
79%
13%
8%
|
30 | 47 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
SMI
0 - 1
ALB
13%
20%
67%
|
31 | 57 | 26 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
DRS
1 - 1
SMI
70%
16%
15%
|
31 | 43 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
SMI
0 - 2
SAL
38%
20%
42%
|
32 | 42 | 10 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
GRO
7 - 2
SMI
92%
6%
2%
|
33 | 59 | 26 | -1 |