JDFS Alberts vs Rigas FS II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.9%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
27.4%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
1º
2º
1º
23
5º
12º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
34 | 57 |
1º
|
86.5% | |
|
4º
|
29 | 47 |
2º
|
37.5% | |
|
3º
|
30 | 45 |
3º
|
18.5% | |
|
2º
|
30 | 45 |
4º
|
18.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
23 | 44 |
5º
|
21% | |
|
7º
|
22 | 43 |
6º
|
22.5% | |
|
6º
|
23 | 37 |
7º
|
20.5% | |
|
9º
|
19 | 36 |
8º
|
24.5% | |
|
8º
|
21 | 35 |
9º
|
31.5% | |
|
13º
|
8 | 31 |
10º
|
30.5% | |
|
10º
|
16 | 25 |
11º
|
30.5% | |
|
14º
|
8 | 22 |
12º
|
32% | |
|
11º
|
10 | 21 |
13º
|
25% | |
|
12º
|
10 | 18 |
14º
|
52.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
86.5% | 0.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
8% | 10.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
5.5% | 89% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
JDFS Alberts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2025 |
SMI
2 - 4
ALB
12%
19%
70%
|
68 | 38 | 30 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2025 |
FKB
4 - 2
ALB
24%
25%
52%
|
68 | 37 | 31 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2025 |
ALB
1 - 3
SUP
51%
23%
26%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Jul. 2025 |
ALB
0 - 0
AUG
71%
18%
11%
|
69 | 23 | 46 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2025 |
TUK
1 - 2
ALB
25%
25%
51%
|
69 | 36 | 33 | 0 |
Matches
Rigas FS II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2025 |
RFA
0 - 0
RIG
23%
24%
53%
|
65 | 28 | 37 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2025 |
RIG
2 - 0
SMI
69%
17%
14%
|
65 | 38 | 27 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2025 |
RIG
1 - 3
FKB
73%
17%
11%
|
65 | 33 | 32 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2025 |
AUG
0 - 0
RIG
21%
23%
56%
|
65 | 22 | 43 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2025 |
RIG
4 - 1
TUK
71%
17%
12%
|
65 | 36 | 29 | 0 |