JaPS vs Sudet analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.5%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.8%
16.6%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
JaPS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
FUT
0 - 1
JAP
33%
24%
43%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
JAP
2 - 2
LAH
54%
21%
25%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
KAP
1 - 0
JAP
43%
25%
32%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
JAP
1 - 1
PEP
52%
24%
24%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
KUF
1 - 1
JAP
44%
25%
31%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Sudet
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
SUD
3 - 2
GNI
32%
22%
46%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
MIK
2 - 1
SUD
73%
15%
12%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
SUD
1 - 1
FCV
45%
22%
34%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
KUL
0 - 1
SUD
60%
20%
21%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2016 |
MPS
1 - 1
SUD
41%
22%
38%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | 0 |