2nd Division Occidente round 11

Jammerbugt vs Varde analysis

Jammerbugt Varde
46 ELO 46
12.7% Tilt 19.6%
20396º General ELO ranking 19095º
189º Country ELO ranking 169º
ELO win probability
57.6%
Jammerbugt
21.5%
Draw
20.9%
Varde

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.6%
Win probability
Jammerbugt
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
20.9%
Win probability
Varde
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Jammerbugt
Varde
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Jammerbugt
Jammerbugt
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Oct. 2012
SKI
VSK Aarhus
2 - 0
Jammerbugt
JAM
29%
23%
49%
49 39 10 0
29 Sep. 2012
JAM
Jammerbugt
2 - 0
Sydvest
SYD
68%
18%
14%
48 40 8 +1
26 Sep. 2012
JAM
Jammerbugt
0 - 1
Silkeborg IF
SIF
11%
17%
72%
48 73 25 0
22 Sep. 2012
NAS
Næsby BK
2 - 2
Jammerbugt
JAM
66%
19%
15%
48 58 10 0
15 Sep. 2012
JAM
Jammerbugt
2 - 0
Svendborg
SVE
52%
22%
25%
47 47 0 +1

Matches

Varde
Varde
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Oct. 2012
VAR
Varde
3 - 4
Marienlyst
MAR
38%
23%
40%
46 50 4 0
30 Sep. 2012
RIN
Ringkøbing
2 - 2
Varde
VAR
49%
23%
28%
46 44 2 0
22 Sep. 2012
VAR
Varde
0 - 3
Middelfart
MID
56%
21%
22%
47 43 4 -1
15 Sep. 2012
BRA
Brabrand
2 - 1
Varde
VAR
41%
27%
33%
48 48 0 -1
12 Sep. 2012
VAR
Varde
1 - 4
AGF Aarhus
AGF
13%
19%
68%
48 75 27 0