Oberliga Bayern North Round 22

Jahn Forchheim vs Bayreuth SpVgg analysis

Jahn Forchheim Bayreuth SpVgg
35 ELO 30
2.9% Tilt 9%
28229º General ELO ranking 2678º
838º Country ELO ranking 113º
ELO win probability
60%
Jahn Forchheim
20.2%
Draw
19.8%
Bayreuth SpVgg

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60%
Win probability
Jahn Forchheim
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
6%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
19.8%
Win probability
Bayreuth SpVgg
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Jahn Forchheim
-29%
+8%
Bayreuth SpVgg

ELO progression

Jahn Forchheim
Bayreuth SpVgg
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Jahn Forchheim
Jahn Forchheim
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
30 Mar. 2013
JFO
Jahn Forchheim
1 - 0
Memmelsdorf
MEM
76%
15%
10%
35 22 13 0
23 Mar. 2013
GRO
Grossbardorf
5 - 1
Jahn Forchheim
JFO
48%
22%
30%
37 34 3 -2
10 Mar. 2013
KLE
Kleinrinderfeld
3 - 4
Jahn Forchheim
JFO
13%
18%
69%
36 15 21 +1
24 Nov. 2012
SAN
1. FC Sand
0 - 5
Jahn Forchheim
JFO
18%
21%
61%
35 21 14 +1
17 Nov. 2012
JFO
Jahn Forchheim
3 - 1
Erlangen-Bruck
ERB
75%
15%
10%
35 22 13 0

Matches

Bayreuth SpVgg
Bayreuth SpVgg
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
30 Mar. 2013
AUB
Aubstadt
2 - 4
Bayreuth SpVgg
BAY
56%
21%
22%
29 31 2 0
17 Mar. 2013
AMM
Ammerthal
1 - 1
Bayreuth SpVgg
BAY
36%
24%
40%
29 24 5 0
09 Mar. 2013
BAY
Bayreuth SpVgg
0 - 4
ASV Neumarkt
NEU
71%
17%
12%
30 21 9 -1
24 Nov. 2012
BAY
Bayreuth SpVgg
1 - 1
Schweinfurt
SCH
27%
24%
50%
30 40 10 0
18 Nov. 2012
DJJ
DJK Bamberg
1 - 3
Bayreuth SpVgg
BAY
22%
23%
55%
29 19 10 +1