Apertura Colombia Round 6

Jaguares FC vs Atlético Bucaramanga analysis

Jaguares FC Atlético Bucaramanga
62 ELO 73
-0.6% Tilt 1.8%
630º General ELO ranking 556º
20º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
28.5%
Jaguares FC
29%
Draw
42.5%
Atlético Bucaramanga

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.5%
Win probability
Jaguares FC
0.95
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.4%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.4%
29%
Draw
0-0
11.4%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29%
42.5%
Win probability
Atlético Bucaramanga
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
13.9%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
23.8%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Jaguares FC
+17%
+8%
Atlético Bucaramanga

ELO progression

Jaguares FC
Atlético Bucaramanga
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Jaguares FC
Jaguares FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Feb. 2016
MIL
Millonarios
2 - 0
Jaguares FC
JAG
72%
18%
9%
62 79 17 0
17 Feb. 2016
JAG
Jaguares FC
1 - 1
Boyacá Chicó
CHI
41%
27%
32%
62 65 3 0
14 Feb. 2016
ONC
Once Caldas
4 - 0
Jaguares FC
JAG
71%
19%
10%
63 79 16 -1
10 Feb. 2016
LEO
Leones
1 - 1
Jaguares FC
JAG
45%
23%
32%
63 64 1 0
07 Feb. 2016
JAG
Jaguares FC
0 - 3
At. Nacional
NAC
18%
28%
55%
63 82 19 0

Matches

Atlético Bucaramanga
Atlético Bucaramanga
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Feb. 2016
BUC
Atlético Bucaramanga
1 - 1
Alianza FC
ALI
49%
27%
24%
74 71 3 0
18 Feb. 2016
PAS
Deportivo Pasto
0 - 0
Atlético Bucaramanga
BUC
49%
26%
24%
73 73 0 +1
15 Feb. 2016
BUC
Atlético Bucaramanga
0 - 0
Santa Fe
SFE
30%
29%
41%
73 82 9 0
11 Feb. 2016
REA
Real Santander
1 - 0
Atlético Bucaramanga
BUC
23%
25%
52%
74 59 15 -1
06 Feb. 2016
PAT
Patriotas Boyacá
3 - 3
Atlético Bucaramanga
BUC
43%
29%
28%
74 74 0 0