Jaguares FC vs CA Morelia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.6%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
26.6%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jaguares FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2010 |
JAG
2 - 0
PAC
38%
25%
37%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2010 |
PUM
1 - 0
JAG
52%
25%
23%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2010 |
JAG
2 - 0
ATL
50%
26%
24%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2010 |
EST
0 - 0
JAG
53%
24%
23%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2010 |
JAG
2 - 1
SNL
53%
25%
22%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
CA Morelia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2010 |
MOR
1 - 1
CAZ
38%
26%
36%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2010 |
PAC
1 - 1
MOR
58%
23%
19%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2010 |
MOR
0 - 0
SAN
36%
25%
39%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2010 |
CHI
0 - 1
MOR
49%
26%
26%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2010 |
PUM
1 - 0
MOR
50%
26%
25%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |