Jadran vs Kurilovec analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.2%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.8%
16%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-62%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jadran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
JAP
5 - 3
DUG
54%
22%
24%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
SPA
1 - 4
JAP
42%
24%
34%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
OPA
1 - 4
JAP
71%
18%
11%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | +2 |
| 10 Oct. 2018 |
ZAG
0 - 2
JAP
64%
20%
17%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
JAP
3 - 1
PON
51%
21%
28%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Kurilovec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
NUK
7 - 0
SPA
52%
23%
26%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
OPA
1 - 3
NUK
77%
15%
9%
|
31 | 43 | 12 | +2 |
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
NUK
0 - 1
ZAG
33%
24%
43%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2018 |
PON
2 - 2
NUK
50%
22%
29%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
NUK
1 - 0
ZAG
60%
20%
20%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | +1 |