Segunda Croacia 2. HNL Round 28

NK Jadran LP vs Segesta analysis

NK Jadran LP Segesta
61 ELO 48
9.7% Tilt -17.3%
3198º General ELO ranking 5864º
18º Country ELO ranking 49º
ELO win probability
70.8%
NK Jadran LP
17.6%
Draw
11.6%
Segesta

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.8%
Win probability
NK Jadran LP
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
9%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.1%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.6%
11.6%
Win probability
Segesta
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
NK Jadran LP
+1%
-31%
Segesta

Points and table prediction

NK Jadran LP
Their league position
Segesta
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
55
34
15º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Hrvace
64
64
100%
NK Karlovac 1919
62
62
100%
Mladost Ždralovi
55
55
100%
NK Jadran LP
55
55
100%
Bjelovar
54
54
100%
NK Solin
54
54
100%
NK Kustošija
48
48
0%
Radnik Križevci
48
48
0%
Uljanik
35
36
74%
NK Trnje
10º
35
35
10º
74%
Segesta
11º
34
34
11º
100%
Hrvatski Dragovoljac
12º
32
32
12º
100%
Marsonia
15º
28
31
13º
44%
NK Dugo Selo
13º
29
30
14º
44%
Grobničan
14º
28
28
15º
79.5%
Jadran
16º
12
12
16º
100%
Expected probabilities
NK Jadran LP
Segesta
Promotion
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation
0% 0%
Relegation play-offs
0% 0%

ELO progression

NK Jadran LP
Segesta
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

NK Jadran LP
NK Jadran LP
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 May. 2025
MZL
Mladost Ždralovi
2 - 2
NK Jadran LP
JAD
49%
27%
24%
60 61 1 0
02 May. 2025
JAD
NK Jadran LP
4 - 1
NK Kustošija
KUS
44%
26%
31%
59 60 1 +1
26 Apr. 2025
NKK
Radnik Križevci
3 - 3
NK Jadran LP
JAD
46%
27%
27%
59 57 2 0
19 Apr. 2025
JAD
NK Jadran LP
4 - 1
Marsonia
MAR
76%
16%
9%
58 41 17 +1
12 Apr. 2025
SOL
NK Solin
2 - 1
NK Jadran LP
JAD
39%
28%
33%
59 53 6 -1

Matches

Segesta
Segesta
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 May. 2025
SEG
Segesta
3 - 3
Hrvace
HRV
28%
24%
49%
48 57 9 0
03 May. 2025
DUG
NK Dugo Selo
1 - 1
Segesta
SEG
39%
24%
37%
48 47 1 0
26 Apr. 2025
SEG
Segesta
4 - 0
Grobničan
NKG
48%
22%
30%
46 47 1 +2
19 Apr. 2025
SEG
Segesta
3 - 2
Mladost Ždralovi
MZL
21%
23%
56%
45 60 15 +1
11 Apr. 2025
KUS
NK Kustošija
2 - 1
Segesta
SEG
67%
20%
13%
45 58 13 0