Chance Liga Normal Season Round 16

Jablonec vs Pardubice analysis

Jablonec Pardubice
72 ELO 67
-2.8% Tilt 0%
383º General ELO ranking 1100º
Country ELO ranking 17º
ELO win probability
50.3%
Jablonec
25.7%
Draw
24%
Pardubice

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.3%
Win probability
Jablonec
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
24%
Win probability
Pardubice
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Jablonec
+6%
-9%
Pardubice

Points and table prediction

Jablonec
Their league position
Pardubice
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
10º
15º
12º
28
10º
14º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Sparta Praha
76
76
100%
Slavia Praha
72
72
100%
Viktoria Plzeň
62
62
100%
Baník Ostrava
45
45
100%
Mladá Boleslav
44
44
100%
Slovácko
41
41
100%
Slovan Liberec
40
40
100%
Sigma Olomouc
37
37
0%
Hradec Králové
37
37
0%
Teplice
10º
36
36
10º
100%
Bohemians 1905
11º
35
35
11º
100%
Jablonec
12º
30
30
12º
100%
Pardubice
13º
28
28
13º
100%
Karviná
14º
25
25
14º
100%
FC Zlín
15º
25
25
15º
100%
České Budějovice
16º
24
24
16º
100%
Expected probabilities
Jablonec
Pardubice
Play-offs for the title
0% 0%
Next round
0% 0%
Relegation play-offs
100% 100%

ELO progression

Jablonec
Pardubice
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Jablonec
Jablonec
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Nov. 2023
ESK
České Budějovice
1 - 2
Jablonec
JAB
43%
24%
34%
70 67 3 0
11 Nov. 2023
ZLI
FC Zlín
1 - 1
Jablonec
JAB
45%
25%
30%
70 67 3 0
04 Nov. 2023
JAB
Jablonec
1 - 1
Sigma Olomouc
SIG
28%
27%
45%
70 78 8 0
28 Oct. 2023
BAN
Baník Ostrava
0 - 1
Jablonec
JAB
64%
21%
15%
69 77 8 +1
22 Oct. 2023
JAB
Jablonec
0 - 1
Bohemians 1905
BOH
35%
27%
38%
69 73 4 0

Matches

Pardubice
Pardubice
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Nov. 2023
MBO
Mladá Boleslav
1 - 0
Pardubice
PAR
68%
19%
13%
68 75 7 0
04 Nov. 2023
PAR
Pardubice
0 - 1
FC Zlín
ZLI
47%
28%
26%
68 66 2 0
28 Oct. 2023
ESK
České Budějovice
0 - 1
Pardubice
PAR
51%
24%
25%
68 68 0 0
21 Oct. 2023
PAR
Pardubice
1 - 1
Sigma Olomouc
SIG
21%
26%
53%
67 78 11 +1
07 Oct. 2023
BAN
Baník Ostrava
1 - 1
Pardubice
PAR
67%
20%
14%
67 77 10 0