J. Malucelli vs Paraná analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.1%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.2%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.5%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
50.3%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.4%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
J. Malucelli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
JMA
3 - 2
OPE
37%
25%
38%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2013 |
RIO
0 - 2
JMA
47%
25%
29%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
JMA
2 - 0
NPR
61%
22%
16%
|
51 | 41 | 10 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2013 |
COT
1 - 0
JMA
87%
10%
3%
|
51 | 82 | 31 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2013 |
JMA
2 - 1
ARA
35%
26%
40%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Paraná
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
PAR
1 - 0
RIO
75%
16%
9%
|
66 | 49 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2013 |
OPE
1 - 1
PAR
27%
26%
47%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
PAR
0 - 0
COT
22%
25%
53%
|
66 | 82 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2013 |
PAR
2 - 1
LON
61%
21%
18%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
ATP
0 - 1
PAR
70%
19%
11%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | +1 |