Izarra vs Mutilvera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.7%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.4%
17.9%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-53%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Izarra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2004 |
OBE
2 - 1
IZA
44%
26%
30%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2004 |
IZA
3 - 1
AZK
29%
29%
42%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | +3 |
| 22 Feb. 2004 |
PRA
2 - 2
IZA
20%
24%
56%
|
31 | 17 | 14 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2004 |
IZA
3 - 0
HUA
66%
21%
14%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2004 |
ALU
2 - 4
IZA
31%
29%
40%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Mutilvera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Feb. 2004 |
TUD
1 - 0
UDM
50%
26%
24%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2004 |
UDM
1 - 0
CHA
56%
26%
18%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2004 |
HAR
0 - 2
UDM
57%
24%
19%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2004 |
UDM
0 - 0
OBE
37%
29%
35%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2004 |
AZK
3 - 0
UDM
78%
14%
8%
|
26 | 40 | 14 | 0 |