Ivry vs St Geneviève analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.7%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.6%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
60.9%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
11.6%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.8%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.3%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
5º
11º
6º
54
1º
8º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
56 | 56 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
54 | 54 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 45 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
45 | 45 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
34 | 34 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 33 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 32 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 29 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 27 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 25 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 24 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 23 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
16 | 16 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ivry
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
VTR
2 - 0
IVR
53%
21%
26%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
IVR
0 - 1
ILE
65%
20%
15%
|
26 | 18 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
IVR
0 - 0
SAN
32%
26%
42%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
ESA
0 - 2
IVR
65%
18%
17%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
IVR
1 - 1
VTR
29%
23%
49%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
St Geneviève
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
STG
0 - 0
SAR
80%
13%
7%
|
39 | 20 | 19 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
BAS
1 - 1
STG
28%
23%
50%
|
40 | 28 | 12 | -1 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
FUR
1 - 0
STG
59%
24%
17%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
STG
0 - 0
FLE
18%
23%
59%
|
41 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
STG
3 - 0
SML
38%
28%
35%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | +2 |