Ituzaingó vs Puerto Nuevo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.1%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
13%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
15.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.5%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
23.6%
15.3%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ituzaingó
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
CAA
1 - 1
ITU
54%
26%
20%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
ITU
1 - 0
ARQ
24%
27%
49%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2012 |
MUÑ
0 - 2
ITU
30%
29%
41%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2012 |
ITU
1 - 0
CAÑ
50%
28%
22%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
ITU
2 - 0
CBA
54%
26%
20%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Puerto Nuevo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
PUE
0 - 1
JUU
29%
28%
42%
|
42 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
CES
1 - 1
PUE
67%
21%
13%
|
41 | 57 | 16 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2012 |
PUE
1 - 4
SMA
18%
24%
59%
|
42 | 58 | 16 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2012 |
PUE
0 - 0
YUP
42%
26%
32%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
PUE
3 - 1
CAA
18%
25%
57%
|
39 | 59 | 20 | +3 |