Ituano vs Náutico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.3%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
27.7%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ituano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2006 |
ITU
0 - 1
CRB
54%
23%
23%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2006 |
SPO
2 - 0
ITU
43%
28%
30%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2006 |
ITU
2 - 2
GUA
53%
25%
23%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2006 |
AVA
2 - 0
ITU
36%
28%
36%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Jul. 2006 |
ITU
1 - 1
POR
66%
21%
14%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2006 |
NAU
4 - 1
AVA
58%
22%
19%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2006 |
GAM
1 - 3
NAU
48%
25%
27%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2006 |
SAO
2 - 2
NAU
32%
27%
42%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | -1 |
| 29 Jul. 2006 |
NAU
2 - 2
COT
37%
27%
37%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | +1 |
| 22 Jul. 2006 |
MAR
4 - 0
NAU
45%
26%
30%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | -1 |