Ituano vs Mogi Mirim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.5%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
37.2%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ituano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
ITU
0 - 0
POR
23%
24%
54%
|
56 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2011 |
SAO
2 - 0
ITU
82%
13%
5%
|
57 | 85 | 28 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
GRÊ
1 - 0
ITU
59%
22%
19%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
ITU
3 - 1
BOT
38%
25%
36%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2011 |
GUA
2 - 0
ITU
60%
21%
19%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Mogi Mirim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
MOG
1 - 2
SAO
37%
26%
37%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2011 |
MOG
0 - 1
LIN
54%
23%
23%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
SAO
2 - 4
MOG
46%
23%
31%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2011 |
GUA
0 - 1
MOG
56%
22%
22%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
MOG
0 - 0
PAL
17%
26%
57%
|
59 | 83 | 24 | +1 |