Paulista A1 Round 11

Ituano vs Linense CA analysis

Ituano Linense CA
65 ELO 57
-3.2% Tilt -4%
1155º General ELO ranking 4677º
48º Country ELO ranking 146º
ELO win probability
59.9%
Ituano
22%
Draw
18.1%
Linense CA

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.9%
Win probability
Ituano
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.2%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
22%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
18.1%
Win probability
Linense CA
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Ituano
-20%
-11%
Linense CA

ELO progression

Ituano
Linense CA
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Ituano
Ituano
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Feb. 2014
MOG
Mogi Mirim
0 - 1
Ituano
ITU
50%
24%
26%
64 65 1 0
20 Feb. 2014
PAL
Palmeiras
1 - 0
Ituano
ITU
73%
18%
9%
65 82 17 -1
16 Feb. 2014
ITU
Ituano
2 - 0
RB Bragantino
BRA
40%
25%
34%
64 67 3 +1
12 Feb. 2014
PPE
Ponte Preta
1 - 3
Ituano
ITU
69%
20%
11%
62 78 16 +2
07 Feb. 2014
OES
Oeste
1 - 2
Ituano
ITU
41%
26%
33%
62 60 2 0

Matches

Linense CA
Linense CA
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Feb. 2014
LIN
Linense CA
1 - 3
São Bernardo FC
SAO
37%
27%
36%
59 65 6 0
19 Feb. 2014
PPE
Ponte Preta
1 - 0
Linense CA
LIN
71%
19%
10%
59 76 17 0
16 Feb. 2014
LIN
Linense CA
1 - 0
Paulista
PAU
54%
23%
23%
58 54 4 +1
09 Feb. 2014
POR
Portuguesa
4 - 0
Linense CA
LIN
74%
18%
9%
59 77 18 -1
07 Feb. 2014
LIN
Linense CA
1 - 2
Santos FC
SAN
14%
22%
65%
59 85 26 0