Copa Paulista Round 14

Ituano vs Grêmio Osasco analysis

Ituano Grêmio Osasco
60 ELO 54
2.2% Tilt -5.8%
1067º General ELO ranking 23236º
49º Country ELO ranking 656º
ELO win probability
55.6%
Ituano
22.7%
Draw
21.8%
Grêmio Osasco

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.6%
Win probability
Ituano
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.1%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
21.7%
Win probability
Grêmio Osasco
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Ituano
Grêmio Osasco
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Ituano
Ituano
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
07 Sep. 2013
SAO
São Bento
2 - 0
Ituano
ITU
38%
27%
36%
60 58 2 0
05 Sep. 2013
RIO
Rio Branco SP
1 - 0
Ituano
ITU
33%
26%
41%
61 55 6 -1
31 Aug. 2013
ITU
Ituano
1 - 0
RB Brasil
RBB
60%
21%
19%
61 57 4 0
24 Aug. 2013
PAU
Paulista
2 - 0
Ituano
ITU
33%
26%
41%
62 56 6 -1
18 Aug. 2013
ITU
Ituano
3 - 1
União Barbarense
UNI
62%
21%
17%
61 54 7 +1

Matches

Grêmio Osasco
Grêmio Osasco
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Sep. 2013
GRE
Grêmio Osasco
0 - 0
RB Brasil
RBB
44%
25%
31%
55 55 0 0
01 Sep. 2013
GRE
Grêmio Osasco
1 - 0
Paulista
PAU
36%
26%
38%
54 57 3 +1
29 Aug. 2013
UNI
União Barbarense
0 - 2
Grêmio Osasco
GRE
43%
25%
32%
53 53 0 +1
24 Aug. 2013
RIO
Rio Branco SP
1 - 1
Grêmio Osasco
GRE
49%
24%
27%
53 55 2 0
17 Aug. 2013
GRE
Grêmio Osasco
0 - 0
São Bento
SAO
35%
25%
40%
53 56 3 0