Ituano vs Botafogo SP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.4%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.6%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.6%
25%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
41.7%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ituano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2013 |
BRA
1 - 0
ITU
71%
17%
12%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
ITU
1 - 2
OES
38%
26%
37%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2013 |
SAO
3 - 0
ITU
61%
21%
18%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2013 |
ITU
2 - 1
XVD
46%
23%
31%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
COR
3 - 2
ITU
81%
14%
5%
|
57 | 87 | 30 | 0 |
Matches
Botafogo SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2013 |
PPE
1 - 0
BOT
68%
20%
13%
|
64 | 78 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
BOT
3 - 0
LIN
46%
24%
30%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2013 |
PAL
2 - 0
BOT
69%
20%
11%
|
64 | 80 | 16 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
PAU
1 - 1
BOT
39%
25%
36%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
BOT
2 - 0
MOG
49%
24%
27%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | +1 |