Itapirense vs Taubaté analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.6%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.5%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
24.8%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Itapirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
ITA
3 - 2
TAU
50%
23%
27%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2010 |
ECN
3 - 1
ITA
60%
21%
19%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2010 |
FRA
1 - 1
ITA
51%
24%
25%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2010 |
ITA
2 - 0
BAN
62%
21%
17%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2010 |
ITA
2 - 0
POR
50%
24%
26%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Taubaté
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
ITA
3 - 2
TAU
50%
23%
27%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2010 |
TAU
1 - 3
POR
53%
23%
24%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2010 |
ARA
4 - 1
TAU
17%
21%
62%
|
46 | 22 | 24 | -2 |
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
TAU
2 - 1
PEN
46%
24%
30%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2010 |
TAU
2 - 2
FEL
60%
21%
19%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | 0 |