Itapirense vs Audax São Paulo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.4%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.4%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.7%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
47.3%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.3%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Itapirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
GRE
1 - 0
ITA
50%
24%
25%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
ITA
0 - 2
GRE
40%
27%
33%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
ITA
0 - 0
GDS
40%
25%
35%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
GDS
1 - 1
ITA
36%
25%
40%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
ITA
1 - 0
PEN
42%
26%
32%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Audax São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
OES
3 - 1
AUD
63%
22%
15%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
AUD
1 - 1
POR
17%
24%
59%
|
45 | 60 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2022 |
RIO
1 - 0
AUD
57%
24%
19%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
POR
3 - 0
AUD
43%
26%
31%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2022 |
AUD
1 - 3
TAU
46%
26%
28%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | -1 |