Cearense 1 Round 14

Itapipoca vs Ferroviário analysis

Itapipoca Ferroviário
39 ELO 44
-0.9% Tilt 3.6%
6635º General ELO ranking 2631º
263º Country ELO ranking 72º
ELO win probability
43.9%
Itapipoca
25%
Draw
31.1%
Ferroviário

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.9%
Win probability
Itapipoca
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
31.1%
Win probability
Ferroviário
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Itapipoca
+37%
-44%
Ferroviário

ELO progression

Itapipoca
Ferroviário
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Itapipoca
Itapipoca
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Apr. 2012
ITA
Itapipoca
0 - 3
Ceará
CEA
11%
20%
69%
40 75 35 0
29 Mar. 2012
ITA
Itapipoca
1 - 2
Crato
CRA
30%
25%
45%
41 50 9 -1
24 Mar. 2012
TRA
Trairiense
2 - 1
Itapipoca
ITA
39%
25%
37%
42 40 2 -1
18 Mar. 2012
CRA
Crateús
4 - 2
Itapipoca
ITA
46%
25%
30%
44 46 2 -2
16 Mar. 2012
FOR
Fortaleza EC
2 - 0
Itapipoca
ITA
78%
14%
8%
44 63 19 0

Matches

Ferroviário
Ferroviário
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Mar. 2012
FER
Ferroviário
3 - 3
Crateús
CRA
50%
24%
26%
43 44 1 0
24 Mar. 2012
ICA
Icasa
0 - 0
Ferroviário
FER
68%
19%
14%
42 56 14 +1
22 Mar. 2012
CRA
Crato
2 - 0
Ferroviário
FER
58%
22%
20%
43 49 6 -1
17 Mar. 2012
FER
Ferroviário
3 - 3
Tiradentes CE
TIR
25%
23%
52%
43 55 12 0
15 Mar. 2012
TRA
Trairiense
1 - 1
Ferroviário
FER
34%
25%
41%
43 37 6 0