Italy U19s vs Portugal U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.7%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.4%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.1%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
39.8%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Italy U19s
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2018 |
ITA
2 - 0
FRA
24%
24%
52%
|
61 | 76 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2018 |
ITA
1 - 1
NOR
59%
21%
20%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2018 |
PRT
2 - 3
ITA
64%
20%
16%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | +1 |
| 16 Jul. 2018 |
FIN
0 - 1
ITA
23%
25%
53%
|
60 | 47 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2018 |
ITA
1 - 1
CZE
56%
22%
22%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Portugal U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2018 |
UKR
0 - 5
PRT
28%
25%
47%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2018 |
PRT
3 - 0
FIN
80%
13%
7%
|
67 | 46 | 21 | +1 |
| 19 Jul. 2018 |
PRT
2 - 3
ITA
64%
20%
16%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | -1 |
| 16 Jul. 2018 |
NOR
1 - 3
PRT
21%
23%
56%
|
68 | 53 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2018 |
IRL
0 - 4
PRT
22%
23%
55%
|
67 | 54 | 13 | +1 |