Italy U19s vs Cyprus U19s analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.7%
Win probability
2.65
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.1%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.6%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
14.1%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.1%
8.2%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Italy U19s
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2019 |
ITA
2 - 0
MLT
83%
12%
5%
|
63 | 30 | 33 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2019 |
ESP
2 - 1
ITA
66%
20%
14%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2019 |
ARM
0 - 4
ITA
10%
20%
70%
|
63 | 36 | 27 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2019 |
ITA
0 - 3
PRT
35%
24%
41%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2019 |
SRB
0 - 2
ITA
36%
26%
39%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Cyprus U19s
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2019 |
CYP
1 - 2
SVK
12%
17%
71%
|
39 | 56 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2019 |
CYP
2 - 2
TUR
9%
14%
77%
|
39 | 56 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2019 |
SCT
4 - 0
CYP
64%
19%
17%
|
39 | 53 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2019 |
PRT
3 - 0
CYP
87%
10%
3%
|
40 | 70 | 30 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2018 |
LVA
0 - 1
CYP
50%
22%
28%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | +1 |