Italy U19s vs Armenia U19s analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.2%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.2%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.3%
3-0
11.9%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.5%
2-0
14.9%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
7%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
14.9%
6.9%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Italy U19s
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2016 |
HUN
0 - 1
ITA
15%
19%
66%
|
61 | 48 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
PRT
2 - 1
ITA
57%
21%
23%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Jul. 2016 |
FRA
4 - 0
ITA
64%
21%
15%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | -1 |
| 21 Jul. 2016 |
ENG
1 - 2
ITA
56%
23%
21%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | +2 |
| 17 Jul. 2016 |
ITA
1 - 1
PRT
30%
24%
46%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Armenia U19s
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2016 |
CHE
4 - 0
ARM
65%
20%
16%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2015 |
EST
2 - 0
ARM
35%
25%
40%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | -2 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
ARM
0 - 4
SRB
9%
15%
76%
|
42 | 65 | 23 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2015 |
CZE
4 - 0
ARM
70%
18%
12%
|
43 | 55 | 12 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2014 |
SMR
0 - 2
ARM
20%
21%
59%
|
42 | 20 | 22 | +1 |