Copa Sudamericana Quarter-finals
Global 1-2
Águilas Doradas vs Libertad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.9%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
25.6%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Águilas Doradas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
CHI
0 - 2
AGU
33%
28%
39%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2013 |
LIB
2 - 0
AGU
43%
28%
29%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
AGU
0 - 4
ONC
45%
26%
29%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2013 |
AGU
2 - 1
COT
50%
26%
25%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
ENV
1 - 1
AGU
27%
28%
45%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
LIB
1 - 0
CER
70%
20%
10%
|
80 | 61 | 19 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2013 |
LIB
2 - 0
AGU
43%
28%
29%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
CAR
2 - 1
LIB
22%
26%
52%
|
80 | 63 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2013 |
SPO
1 - 2
LIB
31%
25%
44%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
OLI
1 - 2
LIB
47%
25%
28%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | +1 |