Itabaiana vs Sergipe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.9%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.1%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.1%
39%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.2%
0-3
3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Itabaiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2016 |
ITA
1 - 0
EST
51%
26%
23%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
CON
0 - 2
ITA
72%
19%
9%
|
43 | 56 | 13 | +2 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
ITA
4 - 2
BOC
55%
23%
22%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
DOR
0 - 0
ITA
40%
26%
34%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
GUA
1 - 1
ITA
32%
27%
41%
|
43 | 33 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Sergipe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2016 |
SER
4 - 3
DOR
69%
18%
13%
|
49 | 39 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
EST
1 - 2
SER
27%
27%
46%
|
49 | 40 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
SER
2 - 1
CON
32%
26%
42%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
BOC
0 - 0
SER
18%
22%
60%
|
48 | 32 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
SER
1 - 1
AMA
77%
15%
8%
|
48 | 31 | 17 | 0 |