Itabaiana vs Sergipe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.1%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.6%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.5%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
50.4%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+44%
-40%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Itabaiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2005 |
MAR
0 - 3
ITA
16%
20%
64%
|
51 | 22 | 29 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2005 |
LAG
2 - 2
ITA
24%
23%
54%
|
52 | 34 | 18 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2005 |
ITA
2 - 0
OSE
80%
13%
7%
|
51 | 33 | 18 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2005 |
AME
0 - 1
ITA
24%
23%
53%
|
51 | 35 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2005 |
ITA
0 - 1
CON
34%
24%
42%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Sergipe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2005 |
SER
2 - 0
BOC
86%
10%
4%
|
62 | 29 | 33 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2005 |
GUA
1 - 3
SER
10%
17%
73%
|
62 | 30 | 32 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2005 |
LAG
3 - 3
SER
12%
18%
71%
|
62 | 34 | 28 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2005 |
SER
2 - 0
OSE
84%
11%
5%
|
62 | 34 | 28 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2005 |
SER
1 - 0
CON
53%
22%
25%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | +1 |