Sergipano . Semi-finals
Global 2-3
Itabaiana vs Confiança analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.2%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.5%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
50.4%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.4%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Itabaiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
ITA
2 - 0
DOR
72%
18%
10%
|
48 | 32 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2024 |
CEA
2 - 1
ITA
84%
12%
4%
|
48 | 85 | 37 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
ITA
0 - 1
BOT
24%
28%
48%
|
48 | 63 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2024 |
ITA
3 - 4
MAR
32%
25%
42%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
DOR
1 - 1
ITA
12%
23%
65%
|
50 | 31 | 19 | -1 |
Matches
Confiança
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2024 |
LAG
0 - 2
CON
23%
26%
51%
|
59 | 47 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
CON
0 - 1
ITA
69%
20%
12%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2024 |
MUR
2 - 1
CON
15%
23%
63%
|
61 | 39 | 22 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2024 |
CON
4 - 0
ATG
78%
14%
8%
|
60 | 31 | 29 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
AME
1 - 2
CON
10%
18%
71%
|
60 | 31 | 29 | 0 |