Itabaiana vs Botafogo PB analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.4%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.1%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.3%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
10.8%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.9%
47.7%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
14.6%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
25%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
14.3%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Itabaiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2024 |
ITA
3 - 4
MAR
32%
25%
42%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
DOR
1 - 1
ITA
12%
23%
65%
|
52 | 34 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2024 |
DOR
0 - 0
ITA
11%
22%
67%
|
52 | 33 | 19 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
ITA
2 - 2
LAG
50%
25%
25%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2024 |
VIT
3 - 1
ITA
79%
15%
6%
|
53 | 80 | 27 | -1 |
Matches
Botafogo PB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2024 |
TRE
0 - 0
BOT
24%
28%
48%
|
65 | 52 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
ATL
3 - 0
BOT
12%
25%
63%
|
66 | 37 | 29 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2024 |
BOT
0 - 2
TRE
78%
16%
6%
|
67 | 49 | 18 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
BOT
0 - 0
SOU
67%
20%
13%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2024 |
BOT
1 - 1
FOR
12%
23%
66%
|
66 | 90 | 24 | +1 |