Itabaiana vs Frei Paulistano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.3%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.8%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
19.1%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Itabaiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
SER
1 - 1
ITA
47%
26%
27%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
BOC
1 - 0
ITA
23%
25%
51%
|
46 | 29 | 17 | -2 |
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
ITA
1 - 1
CON
16%
21%
63%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2019 |
ITA
2 - 5
PAR
9%
20%
71%
|
46 | 66 | 20 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2019 |
ITA
1 - 0
OSE
72%
19%
9%
|
46 | 24 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Frei Paulistano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
AFP
2 - 1
GUA
42%
23%
35%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
DOR
2 - 0
AFP
53%
22%
26%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2019 |
AFP
0 - 1
CON
8%
15%
77%
|
31 | 56 | 25 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
AFP
0 - 0
OSE
63%
20%
18%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2019 |
BOC
1 - 3
AFP
40%
22%
38%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | +1 |