Itabaiana U20 vs Carmopolis U20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.2%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.8%
33%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+67%
-67%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Itabaiana U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2025 |
FFC
3 - 2
ITA
58%
20%
22%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2025 |
ITA
1 - 2
ADC
48%
22%
30%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2025 |
SER
4 - 3
ITA
49%
21%
29%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2025 |
DOR
1 - 2
ITA
29%
21%
50%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2025 |
ITA
4 - 1
GSE
47%
22%
31%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Carmopolis U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2025 |
FFC
4 - 0
CAS
72%
17%
11%
|
9 | 15 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2025 |
CAS
2 - 5
SER
32%
22%
46%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2025 |
CAS
4 - 0
DOR
43%
22%
36%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2025 |
ADC
1 - 1
CAS
41%
22%
37%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2025 |
GSE
0 - 1
CAS
40%
22%
39%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | +2 |